Development plan for biogas / biomethane as fuel for heavy vehicles in France by 2033
Context & Objectives

Emerton has been appointed by AFGNV (Association Française du Gaz Naturel Véhicules)to co-construct with the biogas ecosystem a development plan for biogas as fuelfor heavy vehicles in France by 2033 and elaborate a support package for thepublic authorities.

Outcome

Emerton jointly elaborated with main market players a development plan which is commonly sharedby the biogas ecosystem.

Emerton proposed concrete measures to bring the development plan to the attention of public authorities.

Our approach

Step 1: Assessment of as-is situation and  identification of biogas as fuel development drivers:

- Analysis of current fleet, fuel  characteristics and likely evolutions

-  Identification of the drivers of fuel  transition and their expected impacts on biogas’ share (regulation, etc.)

 

Step 2: Modeling of the demand evolution  in the 10 coming years

-  Construction of an analytical  projection model based on the annual vehicle registration rate and fuel  consumption

-  Co-definition of the assumptions  and modeling of the number of vehicles, biogas volumes, refueling stations…

 

Step 3: Analysis of regulatory context  likely to drive the use of biogas for heavy road transport

-  Identification of the structuring  measures necessary for the effective realization of the development plan

-  Detailed analysis on the price of  biogas as fuel and competitiveness with diesel

Our experts
Sébastien Zimmer
Managing Partner
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